With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just more than three weeks away, it’s time to begin taking a look at the betting odds for your card. Two streaks on the card have lines introduced, and they’re about as different as can be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first battle, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the greatest statistical upsets in UFC history. This moment, the odds are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting in -140 and Barao the little underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card that up until now did not have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas altered that today as he published the complete UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ———— MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Analysis: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this fight, just so I never have to listen to anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. That said, Correia hasn’t confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, especially when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s striking and drag this fight to the ground where she will have a distinct edge. The greatest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, which can be more than sufficient to keep me away from gambling her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been labeled on the feet several times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe won’t have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be quite competitive in all regions, but Ferguson has slight edges which should propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decline in his performances of late makes him seem more like a 37-year-old. He seemed completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was quickly dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a potential while at Strikeforce, while Brunson was overlooked. This is a very difficult bout to predict regarding a negative or a complete, so I’ll probably stay out entirely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem might have a wrestling advantage here, but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the far better submission grappler, and probably even the better striker at this stage (although Nijem’s advancement in that respect last time out was fine to see). I anticipate Ferreira to get the win, and probably put another finish on his resume either from his submission skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo always made for fascinating bouts when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so he’s up against a valid test in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling advantage, naturally. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds with takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the important tests for prospects in his last outing too, becoming cracked square to the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the combat, but that round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed with the UFC was that the impetus he had to start taking the game seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) using Legacy FC, it is quite obvious he’s been coasting at times. Against Jorgensen he may not be able to eliminate a half effort, and when he does it will make him even more particular. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with decidedly less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been in a position to control and outhustle competitions to pick up decisions. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, who really possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go along with his strong striking. Coming from almost a year layoff, it’s hard to expect much from Odoms, so I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he’s somebody I completely expect to fade when he could pick up a few more wins and confront decent competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too fast, and should almost be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense appeared atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, along with his entry game was practically non-existent since he was tapped within seconds of hitting the ground against Miller. Maybe that could work to the benefit of his backers against Justin Edwards however, as Edwards isn’t UFC caliber, even at this time. Edwards has a fantastic guillotine, and not many different abilities, so Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he doesn’t dive into that weapon. Edwards will probably come out fast, because he should know that a win will indicate the conclusion of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door too, since both place on putrid dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is a competitive — but not overly talented — grappler, while Hamilton showed enormous holes in his own grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was put out by one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either guy could finish this fight quickly and that I would not be surprised, or they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the cost for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just have a shot there in hopes that the bout really is of the bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting much more than Monopoly money down on this contest.
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